Posted 20 hours ago

How Spies Think: Ten Lessons in Intelligence

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Dit is echter geen vanzelfsprekendheid, wat Omand er in deel twee (over “checking our reasoning”) toe brengt aandacht te besteden aan mentale belemmeringen als tunnelvisie, groepsdenken en allerlei vormen van onbewuste bias, zowel op persoonlijk als op institutioneel niveau. De bestorming van Capitol Hill door Trump-aanhangers in Washington DC op 6 januari 2021 kwam te laat om te worden opgenomen in Omands boek, maar past naadloos in diens analyse.

These snippets of a true story help demonstrate the message of each 'lesson' and add a little colour to what is otherwise a fairly dry read. It's really how the suits - Whitehall analysts, managers and those charged with assessing intelligence - might, could or should, think (but usually don't). g. Heuer tables, Bayesian thinking (although the content on the latter is overwrought)) are insightful. Zo behandelt hij ‘Ockhams scheermes’, genoemd naar de veertiende-eeuwse Franciscaner monnik William of Ockham (ca.

A former Director of GCHQ and Cabinet Office security and intelligence coordinator turned academic, Omand is a well-qualified guide.

The section on dealing with the deluge of disinformation and deception is also useful and well worth the time of anyone keen to see our democracies live up to their potential as opposed to being dragged down by demagogues. I did appreciate the focus on digital misinformation and trust, which is very apt given current world events, however, I found the author's predictions and prescriptions a little unrealistic.

Het sociologische perspectief op internationale inlichtingensamenwerking is tot dusver in de wetenschap onderbelicht gebleven. These build to more contemporary examples such as Russian disinformation campaigns in the US and French general elections. I’m not sure what to rate this book, so I’ve given it four stars, but I don’t think I’m quite the right audience for it.

Many of the processes will be familiar to anyone with experience of other forms of structured analysis and it is quite gratifying to know that old established principles still apply.The real meat and potatoes of the book is Chapter 10; here the author embarks on a deeper dive into modern subversive tactics on the internet.

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